Fukushima Radiation and Fallout Projections

8 - 14 May 2011




Japan and Asia



Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast


Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

From: Radiation Map Analysis (Europe/Australasia),, 18 May 2011


5/12/2011 -- URGENT !! NILU - Norsk Institute = ZARDOZ = radiation @ VERY HIGH levels

TEPCO Reactor 3 temperature history used as an illustration for the article "What If Everything Ran on Gas?",



["Update: Confirmed date of video May 7th] Spent Fuel Pool of reactor 4 Unit 4 at Fukushima Daiichi, uploaded 8 May 2011, update embedded video to Tepco prepares to film Spent Fuel Pool No. 4 — “You can vaguely discern the fuel rods” says worker,, posted Feb 10, 2012



Pacific and North America

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

North America


Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast

Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast


From [ALERT] Avoid Produce and Dairy: EPA shows Radioactive Fallout Dumped in STL by potrblog, 2011-05-13, listed below

U.S. Radiation Monitoring [Editor's note, These readings may be too low due to manipulated date. Please see comments regarding the listing of 2011-06-29 RadNet Data Censorship Saint Louis, Mo 3/30/11 - 6/29/11 by potrblog.



Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast


Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) forecast


2011-05-08 Mom's to Save Children From Radiation,
Please help!
Children in Fukushima are at risk!
The area within 20 km radius of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant was designated as a “caution zone”, where people are prohibited by law from setting foot. There is however no evacuation instruction yet issued for the areas near this zone, so that children go to school every day just as before.
Recently, the Ministry of Education announced the following statement for 13 schools in the cities of Fukushima, Koriyama and Date:
1) When air dose rate on their schoolyard and playground is below 20mSv / year or 3.8µSv / hour, outdoor activities are "safe" so that the facilities can be used as usual.
2) For the facilities exposed to the dose rate exceeding the level set as above, outdoor activities should be limited to one hour per day and kindergartens and daycare centers should not allow their children to play in the sandbox.
The threshold established by the Ministry of Education for children is higher than for the area currently subject to planned evacuation and six times higher than for the "radiation controlled area". Besides, this threshold of 20msv/year was found to be equal to the upper limit of exposure rate for nuclear power plant workers in Germany...
2011-05-12 Hardly any water in Reactor No. 1 after flooding effort — “Containment vessel is likely to be broken and leaking”, by ENENEWS
nnUnit 1, you need substantial revision of the cooling system, MBS Mainichi News, May 12, 2011:
Excerpts from translation by EX-SKF [Emphasis Added]

JNN’s investigation has revealed that there is hardly any water inside the Reactor Pressure Vessel (RPV) and the Containment Vessel of the Reactor 1 [...]
The water level inside the RPV had shown that more than half the height of the fuel rods (4 meters) was under water. However, when the water gauge was repaired, the actual water level turned out to be so much lower that there was hardly any water in the RPV, according to the JNN’s interview with a government source. [...]
There was hardly any water in the Containment Vessel, the source also revealed. [...]
[T]he Containment Vessel is likely to be broken and leaking water.

See also: Work No. 1 flooded, the water level below the containment assumption
2011-05-12 Water level now below BOTTOM of fuel rods in No. 1 — Suggests nuclear fuel is in a molten mass at bottom of reactor (VIDEO) by ENENEWS
Water leaking from No.1 reactor, NHK, May 12, 2011:

Tokyo Electric Power Company says water may be leaking from a hole in the No.1 reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, causing a sharp drop in the water level inside the reactor. [...]
On Thursday morning, it was found that the water level was more than one meter below the bottom of the fuel rods. The water is believed to be leaking into the containment vessel. [...]
The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said that if the latest data is accurate, it seems parts of the fuel rods have melted and accumulated at the bottom of the reactor. But it added that it believes the fuel rods are being cooled.

Unit 1, you need substantial revision of the cooling system, MBS Mainichi News, May 12, 2011:
Excerpts from translation by EX-SKF

[I]t is possible that the fuel rods have melted to the bottom of the RPV, and the molten mass is being cooled by the water at the bottom, according to the [government] source.

North America and Europe

2011-05-11 Mislabeled XENON Forecast Map Shows Massive Nuclear Radiation Fallout Cloud Over US,
2011-05-12 5/12/2011 -- URGENT !! NILU - Norsk Institute = ZARDOZ = radiation @ VERY HIGH levels.;O=D lists more recent jpeg snapshots.
2011-05-12 The TRUTH of it.... Fukishima Fallout is Unbelievable (Video)
2011-05-12 Michael Janitch (Dutchsinse) interview on YouTube, 1:20:35. Free Truth Show. At 14:32 Janovitch explains earthquake rings, and how people on commodities exchanges bet on the weather. People on NBC and other mainstream news see the same thing he does. He does what the weather man should do. Literally 95% of the time, nine times out of ten, the rain gets hit dead center every time.
2011-05-13 [ALERT] Avoid Produce and Dairy: EPA shows Radioactive Fallout Dumped in STL by potrblog, 2011-05-13
EPA's RadNet monitoring of gross Beta and Gamma radiation in Saint Louis Missouri strongly indicates that the May 13th early morning storm dumped radioactive Gamma and Beta producing fallout on Saint Louis Missouri. Such fallout is likely to be taken up and concentrated in local fruit, vegetable, and dairy products.
Given EPA RadNet's strong indication of Gamma and Beta producing radioactive fallout on the Saint Louis Missouri area on the early morning of May 13th, and the EPA's recent announcement it would reduce testing of milk and dairy products for radiation; it would be wise to avoid consuming local fruits, vegetables, and dairy products, as these farm products take up and concentrate radioactive particles.
The attached RadNet images show a 5 day step-up function spike in both Gamma and Beta starting May 7th and an immediate step down function during the early morning rains of May 13th. The images are the clearest indications yet from EPA's RadNet monitoring of Saint Louis' Air that Fukushima fallout has been significantly deposited in Saint Louis. The May 7th starting date of the STL radiation spike and plateau is strongly correlated with reports of large radioactive releases from Fukushima Daiichi occurring at the end of April and beginning of May.
2011-05-13 18x Background Radiation, ST Louis MO 5/13/11 evening by potrblog
This sample was from less than 50 drops of rain water on my SUV, taken on the evening of 5/13/11. The sample stabilized at 0.186 mR/hr. The reading is high given the small amount of water, and data from EPA's RadNet that a significant amount of Gamma and Beta radioactive fallout had washed out of Saint Louis air approximately 20 hours earlier in a overnight rain storm. for details see:
2011-05-13 Secret NILU Radiation Charts, North America
2011-05-14 (for this day) Reactors in Meltdown As Private Forecasts Show 100x Higher Radiation (PDF),, dated 20 May 2011.

May 14, 2011: Over the course of the past week, a multitude of news stories (that have been almost entirely suppressed globally) have revealed that the Fukushima reactors are currently in as critical a state as they have been since the explosions occurred in mid-March. Skyrocketing levels of radiation are being reported that are higher than any time since at least early April, and simultaneously there is finally acknowledgment being officially made that at least two of the reactors are in a confirmed state of meltdown.
Although no mainstream news source is saying it explicitly, it is obvious to all that the reactors must have entered this state of meltdown now two months ago (when the explosions were taking place), which only confirms that a multitude of poisonous radioactive isotopes have also been getting released from the crippled plant all this time. Meanwhile, hundreds of radiation forecast images continue to appear in an obscure folder of a server run by the Norwegian Institute for Air Research. These images consistently show levels of radioactive poisons in the northern hemisphere that are at least 100 times greater than the levels that the public forecasts ever showed (which public forecasts have been stopped in any case [1]).

This forecast image shows radioactive cesium-137 flowing on to the US west coast at levels of around 250 bq/m2 (see zoomed image below showing yellow on the west coast).

Given that the public forecasts from the Norwegian Institute for Air Research have been stopped, the final available image to compare with the private forecast from May 14, 00:00 UTC, is from May 13, 21:00 UTC (three hours prior).

Here we see levels that are definitely no higher than 1 bq/m2 on the left, with faint wisps of purple (around 0.32–1.0 bq/m2 ) being visible in about three places. Meanwhile, the private forecast on the right from three hours later shows levels in excess of 250 bq/m2 on the US west coast. Given that the public forecast has been stopped, why are there still hundreds of forecast images appearing in the obscure folder on the “zardoz” server in Norway? Also, why do these obscured forecasts continue beyond May 13, 21:00 UTC, which is the final date of the public forecasts? More importantly, why do the private forecasts continue to show levels of radioactive poisons that are hundreds of times greater than the levels that were ever shown on the public forecasts?
All of these questions are extremely relevant, as the lives of hundreds of millions (and even ultimately, billions) of human beings are at stake. The very fact of two different servers hosting two entirely distinct sets of forecast images reveals the duplicitous nature of the current “power system” that rules our world. Why is the information even being generated on this obscure server if it is not for some valid purpose? When taking into account all available information from the past two months relative to this nuclear catastrophe (including reports that the US west coast has been seeing radiation levels 10 times greater than in Europe [2], combined with data from institutions that were monitoring radiation levels [3]), the evidence clearly suggests that the private forecasts are accurate and the public forecasts are not.
Post-Dated “Forecast” Images Show Same High Levels In the past two days since the public forecasts from Norway were stopped, there have been numerous different forecast images appearing in the obscure folder of the “zardoz” server. These have included a number of animated forecasts showing a “simulation” date of May 9 (03:00 UTC) yet giving “forecast” images for the week of April 18–24 (inclusive). Thus, some newly appearing “forecasts” are post-dated (or dated after the fact) by approximately three weeks relative to the actual time being shown (given that today is May 14), which reveals that someone is examining data relative to fallout of radioactive poisons from that week in April. It also reveals that the models being used show “forecast” (for the past?!) levels of radiation that are in fact more than 100 times greater than the public Norwegian forecasts ever showed. If these post-dated “forecast” images that are still mysteriously appearing in an obscure folder of a little known server in Norway are not the real and best estimates of the radioactive fallout that has been flowing around the northern hemisphere due to this terrible nuclear catastrophe, then what are they? In addition, whois generating these forecasts even after the public forecasts have been stopped and for what purpose?
Now let us look at five example “forecast” images from five days during the week of April 18–24. These images all show levels of radioactive iodine-131 at least 100 times greater than the public images for the same times. [Editor's Note: Please see the web page for 4-17 to 4-23].
2011-05-14 [Good News] 2x Background Radiation Rain in STL @ 10:10pm 5/14/11 uploaded by potrblog
Drought would be better, but post Fukushima Daiichi I will call this good news. A 10:10 pm sample was taken from a vehicle which had been parked in the driveway for approximately 4 hours. The rain was a nasty Seattle type drizzle; the sample returned a max reading of 0.020 mR/hr (2 times background radiation). This is good news if your are stuck in the rain; but not so good for the local horticulture and dairy, a significant amount of Beta and Gamma radiation has fallen out on Saint Louis in the last few days.
2011-05-14 0.132 mR/hr Radioative Fallout, 5/14/11 Saint Louis Missouri uploaded by potrblog
Took this sample around 1 pm, after a 20 minute 6 mile round trip driving through a Seattle Style all day rainfall. The readings max at 0.132 mR/hr, or roughly 13 times background radiation. Given that it rained twice yesterday and has been raining all day today, I am a bit surprised that the contamination reading is so high.

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The Cowpens Flag, one of many circular star patterns used by "American Whigs" (or "Patriots")