Fukushima Radiation and Fallout Projections

16 - 22 October 2011

North America

Fukushima Re-criticality Neutron Feast and Famine Cycle: Dancing With the Devil in North America for 17 Oct 2011, posted 23 Oct 2011.


2011-10-14 Accumulating Contamination,
Japan Today: "IAEA team urges gov't to focus on reducing radiation danger to public"
[the IAEA is recommending Japan that it] “'is advised to consider explaining to the public the importance of focusing on radiation doses that may actually be received by people, rather than on data containing contamination levels,' the report said...."
Majia Here: Why is the IAEA advising Japan to focus on the public's "dose" rather than "data containing contamination levels"?
The answer is because contamination levels are so high and contamination is increasingly found to be ubiquitous.
Here are some links to stories documenting that radiation contamination is being found in Tokyo and other cities far from Fukushima, beginning with the latest news
Asahi: Radiation on Tokyo sidewalk exceeds parts of no-entry zone
"Radiation exceeding levels in the no-entry zone around the crippled Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant has been found on a sidewalk in Tokyo. (October 14)"
"According to an Oct. 12 announcement by Setagaya Ward Mayor Nobuto Hosaka, the spot in the 5-chome neighborhood of the ward's Tsurumaki district had radiation levels of 2.707 microsieverts per hour, higher than the 2.115 microsieverts measured at a monitoring post on Oct. 12 in Iitate, Fukushima Prefecture, which is within the 20-km exclusion zone around the Fukushima plant..."
Majia here: the sidewalk in question is used by students at an elementary school.
The same story is being reported by Asahi and can be found here:
Asahi: Radiation on Tokyo sidewalk exceeds parts of no-entry zone
Here is another story documenting contamination:
Asahi: High cesium levels found in parts of Niigata Prefecture
"Relatively high levels of radioactive cesium have been detected in parts of Niigata Prefecture, according to the science ministry...
In Niigata Prefecture, 30,000 to 60,000 becquerels of cesium 137 were detected per square meter in parts of Uonuma and Aga, which border on Fukushima prefecture, and in parts of northern municipalities, including Sekikawa and Murakami...
The highest accumulation levels of cesium 137 were about 20,000 becquerels per square meter in southern parts of Yuzawa, eastern parts of Akita and other locations."
MAJIA HERE: The article states that the Chernobyl exclusion zone was set at 550,000 becquerels per square meter and that contaminated zones were set at 37,000 becquerels per square meter for Cesium-137.
Finally, here are stories from Fukushima Diary and Enenews documenting accumulating contamination.
Fukushima Diary provides this data from a leaked government report:
Data sheet overview (Only Cs-134,137),
Soil from Hayasaka, Namie machi 7/2/2011: 564,215 Bq/Kg
Mushroom from Teshichiro Namie machi 9/23/2011: 404,814 Bq/kg (5,000 Bq per mushroom)
Soil in a rice field from Tsushima Namie machi 8/22/2011: 254,110 Bq/kg
MAJIA HERE: Someone commenting on the story notes that the levels may be way higher in actuality:
COMMENT: "How strange, in the NHK Special about Fukushima the numbers shown are way higher, up to millions of Bq/m2, in cities even farther than Namie-machi."
2011-10-17 Introducing (video),
2011-10-17 How Much Radiation is Fukushima Presently Leaking: Who to Believe?,
NHK is reporting today that plant emissions of radiation have dropped to 100 million becquerels per hour. The government is also considering revising the evacuation status because the plant will be in cold shutdown 1 month sooner than anticipated.
NHK: Revising evacuation status
[excerpted] "According to the revised plan, the second stage, involving a state of cold shutdown of the reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, will be achieved by the end of this year, one month earlier than originally targeted.
"The revised timetable says temperatures around the Numbers 1, 2, and 3 reactors are less than 100 degrees Celsius, and that the amount of radiation being emitted has dropped to about 100 million becquerels per hour. This is about one 8-millionth of the level when the crisis began, and about half that of a month ago."
MAJIA HERE: How can the plant be brought into cold shutdown when at least some of the coriums are not contained? See my post from yesterday on the infrared maps of reactors 1 and 3
Also, why should we believe Tepco's estimate of current radiation releases when they are so blatantly lying about the cold shutdown?
Fukushima Diary recently posted a summary of a NHK report that steam emerging from the ground near reactor #1 measures 4.7 sieverts an hour

The story can also be found at Enenews
Here is some information plant's radiation releases in late August/early Sep:
Dr. Chris Busby stated that plant emissions were reported to the Japanese Prime Minister by Tepco to be 10 to the 13 becquerels per hour.[i]
Likewise, during an interview with Dr. Helen Caldicott, broadcasted online in September of 2011, Arnie Gunderson stated that he had been told that Fukushima was currently emitting a gigabecquerel per day (gigabecquerel or GBq 109 Bq), in radiation, which he described as over 2 billion decays per second a day.[ii]
[i] Dr. Christopher Busby interviewed by Russia Today (RT) and uploaded to YouTube “Christopher Busby: Chernobyl-like radiation found in Tokyo,” [RussiaToday] YouTube (uploaded 2011, August 17):
[ii] Helen Caldicott interviews Arnie Gunderson: “Arnold Gundersen with a Fukushima update,” If You Love This Planet (2011, September):
2011-10-17 The News Tonight on Fukushima is NOT GOOD: CALL TO ACTION,
First, Fukushima Diary has assembled evidence on reactor 1 and 3. Reactor 1 is clearly under the ground as evidenced by the infrared images recently released. I posted on this yesterday.
Second, Fukushima Diary provides further evidence that when Reactor 3 went up, plenty of MOX fuel was released.
Both sources of information found in this link:
Two separate stories on very high levels of radioactive contamination found in Japan.
4 Microsieverts An Hour Found at Primary School
Over 20 Microsieverts An Hour From Car Sold in Chiba
The levels of contamination are becoming more and more overt.
The people of Japan need to avoid panicking and instead DEMAND THAT THEIR GOVERNMENT OPERATE TRANSPARENTLY and RESPONSIVELY
The People of Japan Need to Demand to Know What is Being Done to Contain the Out-of-Control Corium in Reactor 1
What the hell is going on with this reactor? What is the government doing? What are the US, Canada, China, Russia, France, etc doing to help Japan control this situation?
The People of Japan need to demand that their national government be responsible for all clean up, not just clean up in the exclusion zones.
The people of Japan need their government to set up national testing of food and beverages NOW.
The people of Japan need to demand that their level of exposure be brought down from the dangerous level of 20 millisieverts a year.
The people of Japan need to demand that children's schools and parks be tested and de-contaminated.
The children of Japan must not live in fear and their parents must be provided real guarantees and delivery of safety.
And the people of the other countries affected by this disaster (most of the northern hemisphere I presume) should be asking their governments many of the same questions while making many of the same demands.
2011-10-18 Fukushima Update - 2011/10/18, The Corbett Report
2011-10-18 TEPCO Confirms Steam Leaking Out Of Ground,
TEPCO has admitted to the issue of steam leaking out of the ground around Unit 1. Water in the basement of the building was cited as the source of the steam. Extremely high radiation levels were also reported including a 5 sV reading on the 2nd floor of unit 1 in August. Readings over 4 sV were also found at unit 1 previously. There has been considerable speculation that the melted fuel has escaped the containment structure. These concerns have been backed up by various high radiation readings in the suppression chamber of unit 1. These readings also spike after each earthquake at the plant.
2011-10-18 Recriticality? Major Japan paper reports on detection of iodine-131 in Tokyo, Kawasaki, by ENENEWS Admin, 18 Oct 2011
2011-10-19 Radiation map gives close-up fallout readings by Takahiro Fukada "The science ministry said Wednesday it has posted a radiation map that visitors to its website can enlarge to see to what extent their neighborhoods had been contaminated by fallout from the crippled Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant."
2011-10-20 Good Discussion of the Neutron Ray Measured in Tokyo,
This story, with informative details, first ran at Fukushima Diary.
The Watchers provides an extended discussion of the significance of this finding
2011-10-20 Japan allows triple amount of cesium in food than Chernobyl did — Over 50% of store-bought seafood samples contaminated with radiation,
TOKYO, Oct. 20 — Greenpeace said 34 of 60 seafood samples bought from at least several different stores in eastern Japan had radioactive cesium-134 and -137, reports the AFP.
The group also noted that the Japanese standard for cesium in food of 500 becquerel per kilogram compares with a 150 becquerel per kilogram limit in Ukraine after Chernobyl.
Read More: Greenpeace criticises Japan radiation screening
Japan Today: Radiation hotspot found in residential Chiba (Authorities tested the land and reported a reading of 57.5 microsieverts an hour.)
ENENEWS: Local Gov’t: 276,000 Bq/kg in soil sample near Tokyo, in Kashiwa — Almost 18 Million Bq/m²
Fukushima Diary: Breaking news “276,000Bq/Kg soil from Chiba”
Video on Radioactive Food in Japan (hat tip Jeff Rense)
EnviroReporter in West LA: 2 Hepa Filters Oct 3
10:30 pm 10-minute INTERIOR average HONEYWELL & KENMORE HEPA FILTER DUST AGGREGATE: 83.6 CPM OR 216.0% OF NORMAL HIGHER than previous background
Is Nuclear Power Really a Trump Card Against Global Warming? (hat tip
Fukushima: Towards the Formation of a Radioactive Graveyard in the Pacific Ocean? Japanese Officials & Experts Late Decision to Expand Testing Around Fukushima Daiichi by Lucas Whitefield Hixson



North America

2011-10-17 2.76 mR/hr Fukushima Rainfall in Saint Louis Missouri on 10/17/11 (video)
"UPDATE 10/22/11 The Day THYROID CANCER Was Thrust Upon Saint Louis, North America: Monday 17th of October 2011
The POTRBLOG team has been able to identify a 19.25 hour half life and a follow on 4.8 day half life component in the radioactive fallout which rained down on Saint Louis, Missouri on Monday 17th of October 2011. The half lives and decay chain indicate the presence of radioactive Iodine 133 and its daughter product Xenon 133. Additional longer half life components are also present..."
2011-10-17 (for this date, posted 23 Oct 2011) Fukushima Re-criticality Neutron Feast and Famine Cycle: Dancing With the Devil in North America for 17 Oct 2011, posted 23 Oct 2011, potrblog.
The POTRBLOG team has been able to identify a 19.25 hour half life and a follow on 4.8 day half life component in the radioactive fallout which rained down on Saint Louis, Missouri on Monday 17th of October 2011. The half lives and decay chain indicate the presence of radioactive Iodine 133 and its daughter product Xenon 133.
As evidenced by alternating Saint Louis, Mo fallout detections of Neptunium 239 and currently of Iodine 133 + Xenon 133, Fukushima is cycling between a free flowing neutron rich criticality creating Neptunium-239 --- Plutonium 239 and a neutron "poisoned" criticality where Iodine-133 --- Xenon 133 is both the neutron poison and primary fallout product.
In essence it is a dance with the devil creating alternating fallout poisons. But as any dance with the devil, the risk is greatest when the tune changes. As ground water conditions change and the neutron poisoning influences of Xenon 133 wane, a too rapid conversion from neutron famine to neutron feast may yet lead to an explosive un-moderated re-criticality. Those with more precise instruments possibly understand this devil's dance in the ground water with enough quantitative clarity to more precisely ascertain the risks and likely outcomes; but qualitatively for us, the dance to is to see which comes first Thyroid or Lung cancer.
For charts and data see:
2011-10-19 Phoenix Radiation Up, Yuma Skyrocketing []
Phoenix 400 CPM Oct 11.
30 to 60 is normal -
Yuma at 950 CPM Oct 17

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