Contents
Fukushima Radiation and Fallout Projections


25 - 31 December 2011



North America

 


Japan


2011-12-26 Mainichi: Radiation detected in drinking water from underground source — Over 15 miles from Fukushima meltdowns by ENENEWS Admin
2011-12-28 Cesium measured from 5 of 18 children in Saitama posted by Mochizuki, fukushima-diary.com
Riken Analysis Center measured Cesium from the urine of 5 out of 18 children in Saitama.
1) 10 years old, female, Cs-134 = 0.51 Bq/Kg, Cs-137 = 0.53 Bq/Kg
2) 9 years old, male, Cs-134 = 0.36 Bq/Kg, Cs-137 = 0.48 Bq/Kg, 4/2 ~ 4/5 + 7/28 ~ 8/21 + 8/24 + 9/1 ~? evacuated to other city, drinking bottled water for most of the time.
3) 3 years old, female, Cs-134 = 0.20 Bq/Kg, Cs-137 = 0.24 Bq/Kg, using water purifying system for cooking and drinking.
4) 3 years old, female, Cs-134 = 0.18 Bq/Kg, Cs-137 = 0.26 Bq/Kg
5) 3 years old, female, Cs-134 = 0.15 Bq/Kg, Cs-137 = 0.19 Bq/Kg, evacuated from 8/16 to 8/21, avoided school lunch on Tuesday and Friday, after June, ordered uncontaminated vegetables, beef, milk, and meat, bought water from Mie for drinking.
Note: (1) is one of the worst data out of Fukushima.
Whether they take care about food etc or not whether they evacuate to other city or not, they can be internally exposed.
4 of 5 are female.
2011-12-29 Canadian Medical Association Journal: Japanese Response to Fukushima Even Worse than Communist Russian Response to Chernobyl … “The Japanese Government Was Lying Through Its Teeth”, “Unconscionable” Failure Of Government … a “Culture of Coverup,” washingtonsblog.com.
The peer-reviewed Journal of the Canadian Medical Association – a 144 year-old national association – slammed the Japanese government for lying about Fukushima:

A “culture of coverup” and inadequate cleanup efforts have combined to leave Japanese people exposed to “unconscionable” health risks nine months after last year’s meltdown of nuclear reactors at the Fukushima Dai-ichi power plant, health experts say.
Although the Japanese government has declared the plant virtually stable, some experts are calling for evacuation of people from a wider area, which they say is contaminated with radioactive fallout.
They’re also calling for the Japanese government to reinstate internationally-approved radiation exposure limits for members of the public and are slagging government officials for “extreme lack of transparent, timely and comprehensive communication.”
***
The government may soon allow some of the more than 100 000 evacuees from the area around the plant to return to their homes.
***
The plant is still badly damaged and leaking radiation, says Tilman Ruff, chair of the Medical Association for Prevention of Nuclear War, who visited the Fukushima prefecture in August. “There are major issues of contamination on the site. Aftershocks have been continuing and are expected to continue for many months, and some of those are quite large, potentially causing further damage to structures that are already unstable and weakened. And we know that there’s about 120 000 tons of highly contaminated water in the base of the plant, and there’s been significant and ongoing leakage into the ocean.”
The full extent of contamination across the country is even less clear, says Ira Hefland, a member of the board of directors for Physicians for Social Responsibility. “We still don’t know exactly what radiation doses people were exposed to [in the immediate aftermath of the disaster] or what ongoing doses people are being exposed to. Most of the information we’re getting at this point is a series of contradictory statements where the government assures the people that everything’s okay and private citizens doing their own radiation monitoring come up with higher readings than the government says they should be finding.”
Japanese officials in Tokyo have documented elevated levels of cesium — a radioactive material with a half-life of 30 years that can cause leukemia and other cancers — more than 200 kilometres away from the plant, equal to the levels in the 20 kilometre exclusion zone, says Robert Gould, another member of the board of directors for Physicians for Social Responsibility.
International authorities have urged Japan to expand the exclusion zone around the plant to 80 kilometres but the government has instead opted to “define the problem out of existence” by raising the permissible level of radiation exposure for members of the public to 20 millisieverts per year, considerably higher than the international standard of one millisievert per year, Gould adds.
This “arbitrary increase” in the maximum permissible dose of radiation is an “unconscionable” failure of government, contends Ruff. “Subject a class of 30 children to 20 millisieverts of radiation for five years and you’re talking an increased risk of cancer to the order of about 1 in 30, which is completely unacceptable. I’m not aware of any other government in recent decades that’s been willing to accept such a high level of radiation-related risk for its population.”
Following the 1986 nuclear disaster at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in the Ukraine, “clear targets were set so that anybody anticipated to receive more than five millisieverts in a year were evacuated, no question,” Ruff explains. In areas with levels between one and five millisieverts, measures were taken to mitigate the risk of ingesting radioactive materials, including bans on local food consumption, and residents were offered the option of relocating. Exposures below one millisievert were still considered worth monitoring.
In comparison, the Japanese government has implemented a campaign to encourage the public to buy produce from the Fukushima area, Ruff added. “That response [in Chernobyl] 25 years ago in that much less technically sophisticated, much less open or democratic context, was, from a public health point of view, much more responsible than what’s being done in modern Japan this year.”
Were Japan to impose similar strictures, officials would have to evacuate some 1800 square kilometres and impose restrictions on food produced in another 11 100 square kilometres, according to estimates of the contamination presented by Dr. Kozo Tatara for the Japan Public Health Association at the American Public Health Association’s 139th annual meeting and exposition in November in Washington, District of Columbia.
***
The Japanese government is essentially contending that the higher dose is “not dangerous,” explains Hefland. “However, since the accident, it’s become clear the Japanese government was lying through its teeth, doing everything it possible could to minimize public concern, even when that meant denying the public information needed to make informed decisions, and probably still is.”
It’s now clear they knew within a day or so there had been a meltdown at the plant, yet they didn’t disclose that for weeks, and only with great prodding from the outside,” Hefland adds. “And at the same moment he was assuring people there was no public health disaster, the Prime Minister now concedes that he thought Tokyo would have to be evacuated but was doing nothing to bring that about'...”

2011-12-29 220 Bq of cesium from daily food in Fukushima, posted by Mochizuki, fukushima-diary.com
Mainichi newspaper and Tokyo Metropolitan University measured daily food of 11 people living in 11 different locations.
The samples were taken from 11/13 ~ 11/15. They mixed 3 meals and snacks and then put them into a mixer and measured cesium by germanium semiconductor detector taking 2 hours.
The result shows in the worst case, you take 220 Bq of cesium from breakfast, lunch, dinner and snacks everyday non-stop.
Overview
Dateshi Fukushima 140 ~ 220 Bq per day
Takasakishi Gunma 30 ~ 81 Bq per day
Shiraishishi Miyagi 29 ~ 33 Bq per day
(Source)
Note:
Below is a famous graph of ICRP. It shows how much radiation is stocked in your body if you keep having contaminated food everyday.

Abscissa axis = date
Vertical axis = Bq
The simplest put is, if you have 10 Bq from food everyday, you become as contaminated as the 10 Bq food in 2 months. (If you weigh 50kg)
2011-12-29 News From Japan: How Bad Can Fukushima Get?, majiasblog.blogspot.com
THE NEWS
Gov't wants to buy abandoned Fukushima land to store radioactive waste http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/govt-wants-to-buy-abandoned-fukushima-land-to-store-radioactive-waste
Japan starts operating new centrifuges for enriching uranium http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20111229p2g00m0dm010000c.html
NUCLEAR ACCIDENT INTERIM REPORT / Without water, reactor cores heated up http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T111229004103.htm
Fukushima hospitals in financial strife / Services being cut as medical facilities' losses top 12 billion yen due to nuclear crisis http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T111229004020.htm
[Excerpted] "Hospitals in Fukushima Prefecture are facing financial strain--and cutting services--due to the ongoing impact of the crisis at Tokyo Electric Power Co.'s Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant.
The prefecture's hospital association, to which about 90 percent of its hospitals belong, recently estimated that the hospitals' combined losses would reach at least 12.6 billion yen for the first year after the outbreak of the nuclear crisis in March.The hospitals demanded TEPCO pay compensation for the first six months." [end quote]
SPECULATION
There is considerable speculation at Enenews on the webcam discussion forum that fires are burning at the plant in the spent fuel pools of units 2 and 3.
Radnet readings for many areas of the US still reporting are extremely high, indicating rising levels of radiation in Japan http://blog.alexanderhiggins.com/2011/04/12/realtime-epa-radnet-japan-nuclear-radiation-monitoring-every-us-city-single-page-16511/
Yuma was just at 800 CPM beta
Fresno was at 450 CPM beta
Bakersfield CA was off the charts (which reach 1000CPM) on Dec 11 and was recently (yesterday) at 850 CPM beta.
Burning spent fuel pools, or simply fissioning of melted coriums, could explain these high levels. Some commentators have suggested that what we have are open China syndrome pits of burning, fissioning corium.
How much fuel is at the plant? Bobby1 at Enenews posted this link:
[Excerpted] "The Daiichi complex had a total of 1760 metric tons of fresh and used nuclear fuel on site last year, according to a presentation by its owners, the Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco). The most damaged Daiichi reactor, number 3, contains about 90 tons of fuel, and the storage pool above reactor 4, which the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC’s) Gregory Jaczko reported yesterday had lost its cooling water, contains 135 tons of spent fuel. The amount of fuel lost in the core melt at Three Mile Island in 1979 was about 30 tons; the Chernobyl reactors had about 180 tons when the accident occurred in 1986…." http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2011/03/how-much-fuel-is-at-risk-at-fukushima.html?rss=1
Majia Here: Commentators at Enenews are suggesting ELE if this disaster is not contained.
I don't know how accurate a description that is, but I am becoming very worried that no apparent, collective, collaborative response has been forthcoming for the largest nuclear disaster ever.
I am worried that radiation levels are increasing in Japan and the US and I am worried that governments are doing nothing to protect their citizens.
http://enenews.com/agencys-fukushima-report-total-release-amount-equal-chernobyl-nuclear-explosion#comment-177194
2011-12-30 Japanese Corporate Exodus?, majiasblog.blogspot.com.
From "Japan's SMFG Eyeing Deals" Wall Street Journal Dec 30 p. C3
The article examines Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, which is considering going abroad.
There is one quote in the article that is particularly noteworthy:
"'A lot of Japanese companies are going abroad and I see it as a chance [for SMFG to increase lending] given the country's overbanking situation,' Mr Miyata said."
Majia here: this is the second recent article in the WSJ about Japanese companies moving abroad.
http://majiasblog.blogspot.com/2011/12/wsj-japan-embarks-on-shopping-spree.html
My concern is that rather than properly clean up areas contaminated by Fukushima, Japan's elite will simply leave, abandoning the rest of their countrymen to the radiation...
2011-12-30 TEPCO Believes Mission Accomplished & Regulators Allow Radioactive Dumping in Tokyo Bay (Fairewinds Video) (20:33).
2011-12-31 Report: NHK starting to broadcast truth — Large increase in brain tumors and cancers near nuke plant — “Everyone died. Just I’m alive. It’s killing me.” says 18 year old [in Gernmany] — Gov’t kept telling them ICRP says safe, enenews.com
ICRP underestimated the low dose symptom risk by 85%, Fukushima Diary, Dec. 30, 2011:
NHK is starting to change its attitude to the truth. It’s finally starting to broadcast what is actually true.
On 12/28/2011, NHK reported ICRP’s [International Commission on Radiological Protection] manipulation in late 80s.
In this TV show, NHK reported that ICRP manipulated the actual data for the political reason. [...]
ICRP standard has been known as a false “science” [...]
Cancer risk is increased even if it’s only 10mSv unlike ICRP states [...]
Statements by ICRP Officials
“Nobody would know the actual risk of low dose”
“Even if you underestimated it to be half as actual, it wouldn’t matter anyway”
“There was no scientific basis — We just decided for our own good”
Cancer Increase in Parts of Sweden affected by Chernobyl
After Chernobyl, the cancer rate in Sweden has gone beyond the estimation of ICRP
Area of Sweden, where is affected by Chernobyl, cancer rate is increasing
Annual dose is only 0.2 mSv, which is one in fifth of ICRP standard
Cancer risk increased by 34% annually
Living Near Nuclear Plant (Appears to be in Dresden, Germany)
A girl who got a brain tumor at 14 years old
Now she’s 18 but stopped growing [body size or tumor?] since them
She lives near a nuc[lear] plant
She used to use the water underground
“Everyone died. Just I’m alive. It’s killing me.”
Government kept telling them it’s safe based on ICRP standard
Brain tumor and leukemia increased by 30%
Childhood cancer increased by 200%
The report also notes that the ICRP is supported by
Nuclear Regulatory Commission USA: 250,000 USD
Commission of the European Communities : 130,455 USD
Department of Nuclear Safety Germany : 115,021 USD
Japan Atomic Energy Agency : 45,000 USD
The Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission : 40,000 USD etc..
Total : 617,168 US

 

North America

 

2011-12-27 Debris Field The Size Of California From Japanese Tsunami Begins To Litter West Coast (video) (:33) MOXNEWS.com.
2011-12-27 Fairewinds: Hot particles bombarded west coast of US and Canada — Contaminated farms and some food sources in US — Radioactive debris island twice size of Texas crossing Pacific, enenews.com
2011-12-28 Diseased Alaska seals tested for radiation have abnormal brain growths, undersized lymph nodes — Environmental cause indicated — Also found in Russia, Canada — Bacteria becoming blood borne — White spots on liver — Walruses next? (6 PHOTOS & MAP), by ENENEWS Admin {Editor's Note: Please see 10 Symptoms Of Radiation Sickness to see how radiation symptoms for humans are also reflected in the aforementioned seal symptoms).

 

Europe

2011-12-27 Radionuclides from the Fukushima accident in the air over Lithuania: measurement and modelling approaches by Lujaniene G, Bycenkiene S, Povinec PP, Gera M. "...The activity concentrations of (131)I and (137)Cs ranged from 12 µBq/m(3) and 1.4 µBq/m(3) to 3700 µBq/m(3) and 1040 µBq/m(3), respectively. The activity concentration of (239,240)Pu in one aerosol sample collected from 23 March to 15 April, 2011 was found to be 44.5 nBq/m(3)." [Editor's Note: Plutonium made it all the way to Lithuania!].


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